The most exciting hole at Riviera is the drivable par-4 10th hole at just over 300 yards. playing a difficult but fair golf course. His game is trending in the right direction, and Im expecting a good week for the Northern Irishman. That generated momentum onto the Asian Tour where he picked off a T2 and a T5 before New Years. 2-ranked player in the world didnt finish inside the top 8. Hes also gone 10 straight events worldwide without finishing lower than T-8. By our count, 44 of the world's top-50 players will make the trip to Orlando - including all 13 winners of PGA TOUR events so far this term. Maybe better, if were being totally honest. Its Horsfields third DP WORLD Tour victory but first of the last 21 months after he picked off a pair on what was the UK Swing immediately after the circuits shutdown in response to the pandemic. He ranks first in strokes gained around the green, and McDonald knows that is a huge benefit. , they are back this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational from Arnold Palmers Bay Hill Club & Lodge just outside Orlando. TV Broadcast: GOLFTV. We can tell you one of McClure's top PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jason Day at $8,500 on DraftKings and $10,500 on FanDuel. 40 and 43, respectively. The top players in my Fantasy National didnt provide much value and/or havent had the best of success at this event. Good luck this week, and as always, may the odds be ever in your favor!!! A golfer's guide to making amazing old fashioneds, Love transfusion cocktails? Power limped into the clubhouse but has shown he can get hot at any given moment. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is . PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Harry Higgs Staying in the lane of the free spirits, this 31-year-old has made an adjustment in his perspective that has yielded five paydays in his last six starts, two of which going for a top 25. at the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters in late March. Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. Ill take the great putter who doesnt have an ounce of quit. One hole has him in T41 vs T13 had he made par there. Patrick Cantlayis going to be rather chalky, but his consistency and ability to dominate Par 5s are what will have us eating his chalk. Byron Lindeque - Keegan Bradley 6. High-Priced FanDuel DFS Plays 3. Hes followed by Scottie Scheffler with a 7.69% implied probability and then Xander Schauffele at 5.58%. At the Farmers Insurance Open, McClure's top One and Done pick, Max Homa, outlasted the . Not only is he fresh off a victory at Quail Hollow, hes a former champion at this very venue, and the ultra-long course seems like it will suit him even better (if thats even possible) this time around. The result marks Kirk's. You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. It's expected to be another tough test after Scheffler won last year by one stroke at 5-under par. His ability to scramble and avoid bogeys will be a major key to how well he does. He's in the top 10 on tour for greens in regulation,. Expect him to do so tomorrow. The career renaissance is capped by his first major win. Horschel is one of the streakiest players on the PGA Tour, as when hes on top of his game, he can compete with anyone. Performance always is relative, but no one has a better scoring average on the JGTO. (But maybe sprinkle in a top 10 bet just to make sure. Theres no question Rahm is the hottest player in the field, with. Set a budget. and the WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale. A T21 at home followed two weeks later. The Phoenix region will be the center of the sports world this week, with the Super Bowl at. Expert Picks THE TOUR. Leverage: A less popular player who played poorly yesterday. The new father secured his first win since November of 2019 at the Wells Fargo Championship last weekend, and he won the PGA Championship by eight (!) BetMGM is the premier online sportsbook for updated PGA Tour odds each season. Sadom Kaewkanjana(+550 for a Top 40) Youre familiar with his fellow countrymen, Jazz Janewattananond and PGA TOUR member Kiradech Aphibarnrat, but this 23-year-old currently is Thailands top talent at 118th in the Official World Golf Ranking. Lee +19000J.J. Big whoop. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. The Georgia product has shown up a few times at majors in recent years, and with this having a major-like feel, it wouldnt be a surprise to see Harman on the first page of the leaderboard at some point this week. By taking a look at yesterday's ownership, we can get an idea of where people will be willing to go in Round 3 (DK points include finishing position). The Aussie has had some great performances on tough golf courses this year (T8 at the Genesis, a win at the Honda). If the wind picks up, the scores wont be as good. Now, McDonald has studied the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. Making the cut in his debut in the U.S. is the proper bet for Kaewkanjana (where you can find it), but with nothing to lose and everything to gain, he could be compelling early and certainly someone on whom to keep an eye moving forward. When youre talented, youre talented. The two-time PGA champion barely cracked. Corey Conners shot 66 (-6) and lead the field in fantasy points, taking advantage of the rather benign conditions this morning. May 25, 2022 9:00 am ET. PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Kiawah Island, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 3 groupings for Saturday, Jordan Spieth, a snap hook, a lefty stance, rules and one chaotic ending. To-win: Rory McIlroy, +1,150. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. Was Xander Schauffele allergic to the lead on Sunday at Augusta? He is averaging almost 18-under par in his five stateside events and leads the tour in scoring average. Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win. Spencer Aguiar - Will Zalatoris 5. With windy conditions over the weekend a year ago, Scottie Scheffler won the event at 5-under and only 10 players finished the tournament under par. Since Flag Hunting formed at the start of the 2021-22 season, I've cashed a total of 14 outright tickets in 58 events (a nearly 25% hit rate) and profited nearly $12,000 from betting just $350 . The 33-year-old won two weeks ago at the Dubai Desert Classic, and the No. Thats not a bad combination for success on an Ocean Course that typically sees high winds and unpredictable conditions. 2-ranked player in the world didnt finish inside the top 8. The major breakthrough happens this week. 21 years of age or older to wager. One of the top baseball and hockey analysts in the DFS industry, John Britt is a family man hailing from St. Louis, Missouri. Riley Hamel. 15-time major champion Tiger Woods will also be in the field and making his Four golfers are priced shorter than 20-1 in Caesars Sportsbook's latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, led by Rahm at 7-1. 1 Jon Rahm, who has already won two of three designated events this year. However, it should provide you with a guide to who will be the most owned and how those around them shake out. This will be even more pronounced in tomorrow's slate, with winds looking to be brutal as the day progresses. He also leads in par-5 scoring, par breakers and scrambling. 1. Jon Rahmhad a bit of a meltdown today on his second nine, but we can expect the Spaniard to return to the form he has displayed so consistently throughout the season. Over the last 10 years, Dustin Johnson is the only player with odds shorter than +2500 to win the tournament. Last week's PGA TOUR golf sleepers article successfully identified James Hahn as a high . The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. He popped for a solo third in Mississippi in the fall and has added a pair of top 20s in the last four weeks. The very recent winner of the PGA Championship OK, so it was the tournament of the same name on the Sunshine Tour in November, but its not wrong and no one ever can take it away from him the 32-year-old representing South Africa has eight wins on his home circuit. 1-ranked player in the world has now won twice in his last three events worldwide. He finished T-10 last week at the WM Phoenix Open and T-8 at this event in 2021. On the other hand, Rahm hasn't shown many flaws on his stunning run of 10 straight top-10 finishes. The Englishman does his best work from tee to green and he scores well on the par 4s, crucial with a dozen dotting PGA National. McDonald nailed the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice. Top 2023 Honda Classic One and Done picks. DFS pro with almost $2M in winnings gives Masters DFS advice for tournaments like the DraftKings Millionaire Maker 19 Billy Horschel, and No. 3-ranked player in the world doesnt have a top-25 finish on the PGA Tour yet this calendar year. Please Gamble Responsibly. Hes the tournaments all-time earnings leader, which includes a victory (2020), a T-4 (2022) and a T-7 (2019) in the last four editions. Given that this tournament caters to the top players, my card is much smaller than usual. Play has been Suspended due to Darkness. Weve come a long way with Rickie that hes now considered a long shot. All promotions are subject to eligibility requirements. The tournament was already the most electric on the PGA Tour, and that bar will be raised even higher this week with more fans in attendance and it being a designated event. Zalatoris figures to be one of the more popular plays this week, given his success on difficult courses. Collin Morikawa wasnt the only winner at last years PGA Championship. Jon Rahm sits at the top of the leaderboard once >record scratch< . he actually played really badly today for the first time in what feels like eternity and those of us who played Rory instead of Rahm (30% of us - woof) finally reaped the rewardskinda. All three of these golfers provide the upside that can be found in the $10k range, at a price and ownership discount (excluding Cantlay's ownership). Hes fresh off a spirited run of performances on the Asian Tour, including his first victory on the circuit two weeks ago. Will Gordonsits in a similar situation in T53 and is also an explosive golfer who has flashed round-of-the-day potential in less stacked fields before. To-win: Brooks Koepka, +5,000. While every player in the field can most likely drive the green, it is very small and surrounded by multiple deep bunkers. That value might just be worth the risk. That includes going 2-for-2 in the set last year. Historically, these have been some of the easiest greens of the year to putt on. This will be Woods first official PGA Tour event since the 2022 Open Championship. Promotional offers not available in Nevada and New York. I just cant imagine anyone having a better chance than Rory this week. Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, all from the expert who is up more than $2,000 on his PGA Tour picks this season. We will be looking to take advantage of Sungjae Im tomorrow, alongsideKeagan BradleyandJason Day,who will come in much less owned than the Korean. These are tough to figure out and give most players fits. One of these golfers will score close to 40 points, giving our lineups a boost and freeing up salary to load up a few more reliable, higher-upside studs at the top of the slate. He popped for a solo third in Mississippi in the fall and has added a pair of top 20s in the last four weeks. Let's analyze Tipico. Whether youre a new bettor browsing futures odds for The Masters, a casual fan betting on Rory McIlroy to finish in the top five, a longtime diehard breaking down weather trends in Hawaii, theres something for everyone. Gambling problem? I was. The 28-year-old ranks ninth in strokes gained putting and 22nd around the green, both weak points last season. Sports betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii, and Utah and other states where prohibited. Spencer absolutely crushed it in 2022! Lets see it! Pricing may vary. In his last five starts, all on his native circuit, hes finished T6, T7, second, second and third. He finished inside the top 10 at this event three of the last four years. an app from our parent company that is available in the App Store and at Google Play, 7 things you MUST know to make money on golf betting, Four experts on how to bet on PGA Tour golf like a professional gambler. If you buy a linked product, This will be even more pronounced in tomorrow's slate, with winds looking to be brutal as the day progresses. Please Gamble Responsibly. By Pat Mayo Jan 23, 2022, 5:58pm PST Share 2021: Patrick Reed -14 2020: Marc Leishman -15 2019: Justin Rose -21 PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Kiawah Island By: Nick Piastowski May 18, 2021 Collin Morikawa holds the Wanamaker Trophy after winning last year's PGA. Shane Lowryis the first Irishman we look to roster heavily as he has a fantastic around-the-green game and is comfortable in the wind. Once again, Im relying heavily on my Fantasy National model. Sitting a few shots back is EXACTLY where he feels most comfortable and hopefully the majority of ownership falls on Rory who had a great R2 and is the cheapest of the "Big 3". Sign up for ESPN+ now to catch 12 hours of exclusive coverage of the first and second rounds, early weekend coverage, featured groups and much, much more from the 2021 PGA Championship at Kiawah Island. ET (ESPN3). Hes been no worse than T13 in his past four major starts. FedEx St. Jude Championship picks 2022: Sleepers/Dark Horses we like Caddie: Scott Stallings (130-1, DraftKings) Scott might be the hottest golfer not named Rory without a win right now. The small tweaks he made in his swing are paying dividends, and with the championship contested at the windblown Kiawah Resort, I like the shot-making Texans chances to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy come Sunday. Hes been comfortable navigating the redwoods of the PGA TOUR with six paydays in 10 starts, including a career-best T26 at the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines where he ranked second in Strokes Gained: Approach-the Green and co-led in par-3 scoring. Five of those were victories, including his last outing at the Genesis Invitational. CLICK HERE to learn more at HaveAGamePlan.org. He has the best odds to win at +650. 19+ in Ontario. Christiaan Bezuidenhout +15000 Odds to Win, Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Card & Other Predictions, Christiaan Bezuidenhout Top-20 Finish +375, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023: Winners Payout & Prize Money Earnings, Arnold Palmer Invitational First & Second Round Tee Times. He just closed out his second season of the last five as the runner-up on its Order of Merit. We, along with members of our staff, have each made a to-win and sleeper bet using odds from DraftKings to help you with your own weekly picks, whether those are for a low-stakes office fantasy league, (legal!) In his role, he is responsible for editing, writing and developing stories across the golf space. The rough isnt very penalizing, but players must avoid strategically placed water hazards. 1-800-547-6133 (WA). After spending time at FanSided and NBC Sports EDGE, McDonald joined CBS Sports as a golf writer in the spring of 2022. They may lay off the water going forward which will make the afternoon much drier and crusty, resulting in scoring being a little more difficult for the afternoon wave. At just over 7,200 yards, the course is average by PGA Tour standards and doesnt favor the longer or shorter hitters. The message was that hes balanced and playing well upon arrival. Clark checks off a lot of boxes when it comes to the key metrics for the week, especially around the green, where hes able to scramble well primarily because of his ability to putt well on poa. But he still might be the best player in the game. Sure. Now just three months from his 32nd birthday, the native of Seoul, South Korea, is making his PGA Championship debut as the fifth-best golfer from his homeland (at 115th in the Official World Golf Ranking). If the name rings a bell, its probably because youve been an avid PGA TOUR fan long enough to remember when he was the youngest member at the age of 20 in 2011. Reed is a grinder who navigates windy conditions well with a relatively low ball flight. You never mind a South African when the wind blows, especially a talent for whom his approach game has been his strength of late. Rai presents a similar profile in his return trip after a T66 well back of Strakas championship pace. But McDonald knows "inefficiencies in the other aspects of his game" will be tough to overcome at Bay Hill. , but that doesnt mean he isnt playing exceptional golf of late. First-bet offers not valid in Ohio. (Could also be a sleeper at those odds.). The Arnold Palmer Invitational, a designated event, is March 2-5. To-win: Matthew Fitzpatrick, +6,000. Chirp is a new golf-gaming platform that allows users to place live bets using fake money to win amazing, real-life prizes. Kickoff is Saturday at 7 p.m. In nine starts this season, he has two top-25 finishes, with his best being a T-11 at The American Express. Hes also gone 10 straight events worldwide without finishing lower than T-8. If you dont pick him to win, be sure to grab him at +450 to top-10. He has been nominated multiple times for awards for his written work in both baseball (best MLB series) and . McIlroy is coming off a disappointing T-32 finish at the WM Phoenix Open, but that doesnt mean he isnt playing exceptional golf of late. Its Horsfields third DP WORLD Tour victory but first of the last 21 months after he picked off a pair on what was the UK Swing immediately after the circuits shutdown in response to the pandemic. Then in 2020, a year that also featured windy conditions, Tyrell Hatton won at 4-under. FanDuel Strategy Nuances (PGA DFS) 2. Chalk: a) A popular player who played okay yesterday, b) A less popular player who played well yesterday. You can only see the picks at SportsLine. Not to mention a guy who has been rock solid all year. Something else to mention is the rules committee and course superintendents seem to have drenched the course in anticipation of the winds we expected today. Sign up today or log in to your account to get closer to the action on the course! Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions and other state-specific responsible gaming resources. Visit the sportsbook today to place your wagers! The West Coast Swing on the PGA Tour will conclude this week, and it may have saved the best for last. He won a major last year, but his game has shown a lot of cracks. Going into the week, Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win, followed by Rory McIlroy (+800). section: | slug: 2023-arnold-palmer-invitational-picks-predictions-field-odds-golf-expert-fading-justin-thomas-at-bay-hill | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | With narrow fairways, thick rough, firm and fast greens, Bay Hill can be one of the hardest courses of the season if the wind picks up. Although hes still on the rise globally, hes no stranger to the brightest lights having made five starts in majors previously. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. Has the game and mindset to handle whatever Kiawah throws at the players this week. You can go down whatever rabbit hole you find and youre unlikely to surface video of a snail taming a bear, much less a story of an encounter. Promotional offers not available in Nevada and New York. Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU, Congrats @tenndolly2 ?? Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He finished T-10 last week at the WM Phoenix Open and T-8 at this event in 2021. Think of it as a traffic light with four colors. PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential Genesis Invitational Longshot Picks. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Its been exactly one year since his last victory and he just turned 26. Expert Picks A Change Text Size Written by Staff @PGATOUR How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. The five-time winner on the Japan Golf Tour is comin in hot. In this article, we are going to break down the previous round's top performers and duds and use that information to derive a player pool full of upside and leverage. Meanwhile, Burns and Spieth were No. ***Full disclosure: The ownership numbers are based on the $10K Drive The Green $5 Single Entry contest, which is important to note as ownership in showdown can vary from contest to contest depending on field size and entry fee. For more on Chirp, click here. The expert also just missed a massive 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. Additionally, since 2015, every winner at the event has been a major champion or won The Players Championship. It includes pre-event rankings, round-specific scoring averages, birdie percentages, weighted approach ratings, and ownership projections for tomorrow's showdown slate. The Englishman does his best work from tee to green and he scores well on the par 4s, crucial with a dozen dotting PGA National. That should be something to consider this week, especially given his odds. He led the field that week in Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green and both par-3 and par-5 scoring, so the memory bank is rich with positive vibes. See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 Homa is becoming one of the best players on Tour; he already has two wins during the 2022-23 season. We would appreciate your support by either turning off your adblocker or signing up for our ad-free subscription tier.Thanks for being a reader! The only issue with him this week is a lack of experience at TPC Scottsdale. The 21-year-old lefty is on an absolute heater at the moment, with two wins in his past three European Tour starts. Hes followed by Scottie Scheffler at 9.09% and then Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele at 5.58%. , followed by my betting card for the week. Top 3 High Value Sleepers and Sleeper Picks and Predictions for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA Golf Tournament Running from March 2 to 5 2023. New Customer Offer (if applicable). It's always a high-class field that meets at Bay Hill for the Arnie P, and 2023 - with it's newly-minted elevated status - is no different. First-bet offers not valid in Ohio. Don't have an account? And when I looked at the 2012 leaderboard and saw three Englishmen in the top six (and Rory McIlroy from Northern Ireland winning), this pick began to look really good to me. GOLF.COM may earn a fee. He is up more than 20 units this season, meaning a profit of over $2,000 for $100 bettors. Rai presents a similar profile in his return trip after a. Rob Bolton is a Golfbet columnist for the PGA TOUR. At 7,322 yards, its not an overly long course, but its known for its narrow fairways and tight doglegs. Lee, +22,500. He's an excellent ball striker, so if the wind picks up, that could be in his favor. AZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NV, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WA, WV, or WY. Andrew. And in the prognostication business, youre only as good as your next pick. See who he is backing at SportsLine. big-bucks bets with a sportsbook or through free-to-play Chirp Golf, an app from our parent company that is available in the App Store and at Google Play. Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win. Mark Hubbard (+350 for a Top 20) You can go down whatever rabbit hole you find and youre unlikely to surface video of a snail taming a bear, much less a story of an encounter. Now covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis on the PGA Tour. Josh Bennett - Rory McIlroy 4. OK, lets continue. Hes a perfect sleeper this week! Emilliano Grillo has been hot and cold in both rounds he has played so far. Aaron Baddeley intrigues me as his short game is really impressive and a few long puts or chip-ins can grab him a bunch of points. Its also a major, and he rarely struggles in the big ones. As of Tuesday, its expected to be a windy tournament, especially on Friday, with gusts expected over 30 miles per hour. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. He's made nine of 10 cuts at this tournament, including two top 10s. His R3 scoring is not the best but that is usually because he is around the top of the leaderboard. One of McClure's top one and done picks this week for the Honda Classic is 24-year-old Sungjae Im. Theegala burst onto the scene a year ago at this event with a T-3 in his tournament debut. ). New Customer Offer (if applicable). WM Phoenix Open Betting Card & Other Predictions Patrick Cantlay Outright Win +2000 For years, Fowler entered each major with a cloud over his head as the best player to never win a major. After he watched the Masters at home, Im counting on Rickie playing with extra purpose this week. Like what you read today? So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? A little hard to believe, but a golfer who is in the top five in the world rankings has yet to play in an Open Championship. It's a smaller PGA Tour field this week, but it's a much larger purse and the field is stacked with stars for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. His stats from this season wont jump off the page, but hes played well lately (T28 or better in his past four, including a win) and should have a good chance this week. He has yet to really unleash his true potential this event. McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational and has tabbed several longshots, including two who come in well over 80-1. If the wind stays home, there are worse bets than Woodland, whos see-sawed a bit of late, but has two top-10s in the past two months. At just 23 years young, hes taken more punches than hes given, but hes made some noise early in what is his second full season on the PGA TOUR. The 33-year-old has played well at this event, logging two runner-up finishes (2018 and 2021). These elevated events just keep elevating. Sleeper pick: Seamus Power, +10,000. BMW Championship picks 2022: Sleepers/Dark Horses who could win Caddie: Keegan Bradley (100-1, BetMGM) Keegs had it going the last time we were in the Mid-Atlantic at TPC Potomac, nearly winning. After most of the top players did not play in last weeks. Its been exactly one year since his last victory and he just turned 26. Per our model, Rory McIlroy has +179 odds to finish in the Top 5 at this event, making PointsBet's odds a 5-star value. To-win: Abraham Ancer, +5,500. Sleeper pick: Jason Kokrak, +13,000. After missing last fall due to a back injury, he has put the rust behind him as he finished fourth in his last start at the Genesis Invitational. I really like the value for all three outright plays. Sleeper pick: Shane Lowry, +10,000. I still have faith the 20 Masters was the start of it, and it will pick up at the 21 PGA Championship. That means the best players in the world will be competing for a $20 million purse.