This team is just two years removed from the AFC Championship Game and is in position to "win now." Self care and ideas to help you live a healthier, happier life. Peyton Manning needed the Saints and Tracy Porter to not come marching in. With that criteria in mind, weve ranked every Super Bowl ever played from worst to first. The Los Angeles This Baltimore Colts was coached by Don Shula and averaged 28.7 points per game in the '60s. Jim Plunkett, a 33-year-old signal-caller at the time, was plucked off the bench early in the season and was the catalyst for the team making the playoffs, but even he only threw 18 touchdowns compared to 16 interceptions. Although the Rams are FPI's top team of the bunch, San Francisco is actually the favorite here. Denver has eight games against FPI's bottom 10 teams: at Giants, at Jaguars, vs. John Elway finally won his ring in a well-played game that featured one of the best performances by a running back in Super Bowl history. Brett Favre was brilliant in his only Super Bowl win. In one of our 20,000 sims, the Eagles took the crown at 5-11-1. Reggie White was downright unblockable. Four teams have yet to even reach the Super Bowl (two of them started as a franchise after 1990). This game will be decided at quarterback, and the daring superstar who joins Brady as the only quarterback to appear in three Super Bowls in his first six seasons is the pick here. NFL season projections 2021: Win-loss records, playoff and Super That they have to play each other twice and are vying for the same divisional crown are limiting factors when it comes to win total and a chance to earn the coveted top seed in the AFC. The one Peyton let get away. worst That tops the 2020 Jaguars, who entered last season at 23% and ended up earning that No. The 11 Worst Quarterbacks To Win A Super Bowl ET (Rams, Seahawks, Chargers). And the Chiefs would hold at least a 3.5-point edge over every team outside of the Bucs, Bills and Ravens. Teams that barely squeak into the playoffs with a wild-card berth have become frequent commodities on this list, so it only feels appropriate to include the first wild-card team to ever win the Super Bowl. New York Giants +7500 (bet $10 to win $760 total), The market doesnt like the Giants, but they were 9-5 ATS as an underdog last year. Two years ago, the 49ers were 10 minutes away from winning the Super Bowl, and they return eight defensive starters from that team. 18. More NFL coverage . 20. Love the defense, which is good enough to vault Washington to the playoffs again. While Kansas City's 19% chance to win the Super Bowl might be more than any other team's, FPI is also saying that there's a 4-in-5 chance that a team other than the Chiefs will win the Super Bowl. Three different QBs started six games. Team-by-team strength-of-schedule rankings. Sign up for the For The Win newsletter to get our top stories in your inbox every morning. Super Bowl V. This was the year that Joe Montana and Steve Young alternated starts at quarterback until eventually Montana firmly took the reins down the stretch. You can make a case that every team that endured the best shots from every one of their opponents throughout the season, found a way to win enough to win They had an outstanding defense, and thats what won them the He saved the team from the clutches of defeat and led a game-winning fourth-quarter drive. Carolina Panthers +7000 (bet $10 to win $710 total), The Panthers were a fantastic 8-4 against the spread as an underdog last year, and theyre going to be underdogs frequently again this year. Kansas City would be favored by 1.3 points over Tampa Bay on a neutral field if the teams were to suit up for a rematch tomorrow, FPI believes. Id have to guess the 2000 Baltimore Ravens. They had an outstanding defense, and thats what won them the Superbowl, but they didnt score many touch Boomer Esiason and the Bengals were the most productive offense in 1988. Unfortunately for them, that stopped in the playoffs and in the Super Bowl. Los Angeles is going to score points this year. The Lions are the next-most likely team to earn the No. Dolphins fullback Larry Csonka plows between Vikings LB Jeff Siemon (50) and safety Paul Krause for one of his two touchdowns in the Dolphins 24-7 Super Bowl VIII win. The NFC West features three of FPI's top 10 teams in the Rams, 49ers and Seahawks, and the 21st-ranked Cardinals aren't necessarily an easy out, either. The biggest preseason long shot to win the Super Bowl was the 1999 St. Louis Rams behind unknown QB Kurt Warner; the Rams were 300-1. FPI thinks they take another step forward this season. Dallas got out to an early 10-point lead and never looked back. Rookie head coaches and rookie quarterbacks don't typically generate Super Bowl contenders. A 142 season, and the best offense in the league led by Kurt Warner, Marshall Faulk, Torry Holt, and Isaac Bruce. Super Bowl Brett Favre had 35 passing touchdowns and Dorsey Levens ran for 1,435 yards. This should have been a great game. worst Super Bowl And we dont even know who their QB is (probably Teddy Bridgewater over Drew Lock).. Every NFL team's 2021 Super Bowl odds, ranked from worst to This might be controversial among Bills fans, but this team was just as good as the year before. Obsessed with travel? Don't sleep on the rest of the league, of course. That decision is based on two factors: Garoppolo is generally believed to be the favorite over rookie No. He also has the most game-winning drives and tied for the most fourth-quarter comebacks in that span. Yes, they have the best QB, a fleet of skill players and a fantastic coach, but history is not on their side. 15. Those numbers should improve under offensive coordinator Joe Brady, as the Panthers will find out if Darnold can become a franchise quarterback. A four-game stretch bridging October and November vs Bills, vs Chiefs, at Colts, at Rams should seal their fate. At 10-4-1, this Broncos team was better balanced than the '86 team. Tennessee already has the game's best running back in Derrick Henry and one of the league's best big-play receivers in A.J. Denver Broncos +5500 (bet $10 to win $560 total), Yes, this is irrationally high. I'll take my chances on a 1-in-15 shot that the Niners put all the pieces back together and raise the Lombardi in February. It is not that these teams were not deserving of a Super Bowl, but rather that they do not stack up when compared to the greatest units the NFL has ever seen. Drafting Ja'Marr Chase over Penei Sewell was a questionable move, especially since Cincinnati's atrocious offensive line led to franchise quarterback Joe Burrow tearing his ACL in his rookie season. Buffalo Bill's in 1992 super bowl against Dalls Cowboys have up 52 points to there offense managed 17pts (How about them cowboys.) that's pretty ba He had one season without Peyton and went 2-14 leading to his firing and the start of the Luck era. All Rights Reserved. First place on this list scored 140 points in my grading system. This was actually the closest one they played. As of now, FPI is working under the assumption that two rookies -- the Jaguars' Lawrence and the Jets' Wilson -- are their respective teams' current starters. Both of those teams went on to lose in the Super Bowl. But the Super Bowl? If we made Lance the starter or partial starter, it would hurt the 49ers' projection because the model assumes Lance is a little worse than Garoppolo, as of now. Granted, having Simms on the field would have undoubtedly bolstered the Giants offensive attack in the postseason, but this is not a countdown of "what ifs" and "should have beens.". Detroit Lions +12500 (bet $10 to win $1260 total), There is a universe in which the Lions ride an inspired Jared Goff and underrated defensive talent to seven or eight wins., But the schedule is brutal six road games against playoff teams from 2020! The Jaguars are going to be better than the 1-15 team that played last year, and could actually contend for eight or nine wins if the defense becomes a top 20 unit (ranked 31st in points and yards allowed in 2020). The game was won with Ben Roethlisbergers perfect pass to Santonio Holmes, who somehow got two feet down in the back of the end zone. They went 3-0.. San Francisco 49ers +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total), Tricky to put San Francisco here given the uncertainty at QB, but theres no way they actually start 21-year-old Trey Lance, right?. One team (Patriots) in the last 25 years has been to three straight.. The eventual champion Colts committed seven, count them, seven turnovers. WebTechnically the truth. San Francisco finished the regular season at just 10-6, and the leading receiver was none other than Roger Craig. Dilfer bounced around many teams in his career, but he was lucky enough to helm the Baltimore Ravens to a Super Bowl victory on the strength of their history-making defense. They had one of the league's best defenses that year. For the 2021 version of FPI, we made some under-the-hood improvements, including an updated expected points added model and a better predictive quarterback rating system. The Ravens and Browns rank fourth and sixth in FPI rating -- basically true talent level -- but are fifth and seventh in chances to reach the playoffs and win the Super Bowl, respectively. Division favorites, win totals and the NFL's best (and worst) teams: Takeaways from the 2021 projections, The future of the NFL combine: Is there really a chance it could end forever? Ken Anderson led his team to 124. and quarterback rating (112.4). The Bills could not close the deal in this four-year span, and most frustrating of all, all these teams were pretty well-balanced. An 11-win team with only 20.3 points per game. As Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers went back and forth to win the title, Super Bowl LIV is the 13th-best Super Bowl on our list. A full explanation for how FPI works can be found here, but here's the abridged version: The model determines forward-looking strength ratings for every team based on a variety of factors, including team win total, projected starting quarterback, returning starters and past performance on offense, defense and special teams. Throw in Trent Dilfer leading the other offense and a game that was never competitive, and this is easily the worst Super Bowl of all-time. If Baker Mayfield improves from last season's campaign, the Browns will contend for a Super Bowl in 2021. Jacksonville Jaguars +9000 (bet $10 to win $910 total), "Dont tell me what you think tell me whats in your portfolio. Joe Namath may have guaranteed a Super Bowl III win over the Baltimore Colts, but he didn't say anything about being the best team of all time. Unsung, their defense only allowed 17.1 points per game. With a 131 record, this Oakland Raiders team would be higher, but not as good as some of the other late '60s losing teams. Christian McCaffrey's return makes the Panthers formidable, as the front office restructured the offensive line. Between free agency and players opting back in from 2020, New England had a massive talent infusion.. Yes, the New York Giants knocked off the 18-0 New England Patriots. A fullback even if it was Hall of Famer Larry Csonka winning MVP tells you just how entertaining this one was. Terry Bradshaw and Franco Harris took over the game from there. 16. Craving even more NFL coverage focusing on previews, recaps, news and analysis? Gruden did bring the Raiders back from almost a decade of ineptness and he did win a Super Bowl against the Raiders, but the rest of his career he was pretty much a .500 coach. Miamis three points is still the fewest points scored in a Super Bowl. The Vikings have made the playoffs every odd-year season since coach Mike Zimmer took over in 2014, which bodes well for them in 2021. Ranking 12 teams that never won a Super Bowl by best chance Who do you think was the best team to not win a Super Bowl. That was by design. The first of the Steelers-Cowboys Super Bowls gave us those beautiful NFL Films shots of Lynn Swanns acrobatic catch. You have a few precious hours left to scout rosters, analyze schedules, weigh injuries and place your futures bets on who is going to win Super Bowl 56. The 2000 Baltimore Ravens featured one of the most stifling defenses ever assembled, allowing only 970 rushing yards all season and five rushing touchdowns. A game remembered more for trick plays and bad refereeing than the actual quality of either team, the Pittsburgh Steelers emerged victorious in their effort to send Jerome Bettis off into the sunset in style. If the Saints slip a bit, there's a spot open for the Panthers to take a leap in 2021. A crummy game turned into an instant classic thanks to a brilliant game-winning drive authored by Joe Montana. Both teams have two of the most talented rosters in the league and look to make an even deeper playoff run -- finally attempting to end title droughts that have lasted more than a half-century. The Cardinals defense significantly improved with the addition of J.J. Watt and the return of Chandler Jones on the pass rush. Something for everyone interested in hair, makeup, style, and body positivity. Unfortunately, they lost both starting tackles for the Super Bowl and could not stop the Tampa Bay Buccaneers beast-mode pass rush. Worst NFL Players To Win The game itself may not be memorable but Marcus Allens 191-yard performance, which included the greatest run in Super Bowl history, pushes it into the top-30. 6. There are quite a few contenders to win their first Super Bowl in 2021, and the two favorites reside in the loaded AFC. A very good defense led by Andre Tippett and Steve Nelson. 2023 NFL Draft odds: Will Georgia's Stetson Bennett get selected? FPI has created preseason projections every year since 2015, and the 2021 Chiefs rank third out of the seven favorites, behind the 2017 Patriots (32%) and 2020 Chiefs (22%). 6) Jon Gruden, Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Minnesota Vikings +4500 (bet $10 to win $460 total), I want to like Minnesota as a buy-low team after rebuilding its defense.. By contrast, FPI is bullish on Cleveland's offense -- which ranks third in the league behind the Chiefs and Packers but ahead of the Bills -- but gives the Browns the 18th-best defense. Arizona still needs more help in the secondary, but defensive coordinator Vance Joseph has man-cover corners to fit his scheme. However, New York went just 10-6 in the regular season. All 52 Super Bowls, ranked from worst (XXXV) to first (LI) - For Give them five years to become a dynasty. It featured the great comeback, the only overtime in Super Bowl history, not one but two spectacular catches and a fascinating chess match between the Falcons and Patriots coaching staffs. The Texans did finish 4-12 last season, even as Watson reached career highs in completion percentage (70.2), passing yards (4,823), touchdown passes (33). The "Greatest Show On Turf" was the potential dynasty derailed by New England Patriots. Seattle Seahawks +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total), Will we see the first-half Seahawks (6-1, 34 points per game! Peyton Manning winning his second ring bumps this one up a few spots. They started 1-7, fought back into playoff contention, and cratered down the stretch behind backup QB Colt McCoy.. Instead, Baltimore is here due to how poorly it played in its Super Bowl win. Yet I can see the defense making a Washington-type leap, and the offensive weapons are there for whoever wins the starting job. Cam Newton had an MVP season to remember and ran an offense that produced 31.3 points per game. It was easily the sloppiest Super Bowl of all-time. 3. But they have arguably the toughest schedule in the NFC (nine games against playoff teams from 2020), including a stretch that goes: at Baltimore, at Chargers, home vs Aaron Rodgers, at the 49ers. Reporting on what you care about. ), and every Texans opponent's win total is inflated for the same reason. They also secured the first ring in franchise history. Please check your email for a confirmation. The Chiefs win But the rest of the roster is important, too. that each ranks in the top 10. The Minnesota Vikings, Buffalo Bills and Denver Broncos have been involved in some of the worst Super Bowls, but so have the Los Angeles Rams and Dallas Cowboys. 1980 was also the final year of "Stickum" being allowed in the NFL, and cornerback Lester Hayes used it to his full advantage, reeling off 18 interceptions in 20 games. But a lot of credit needs to be given to running backs Ickey Woods and James Brooks, who both combined for 1,997 yards and 29 touchdowns. Wait, Dilfer isn't iconic. 1 pick, Ex-Patriots star McGinest facing eight years in prison, Commanders rip 'blatantly false' team sale report, Last Super Bowl appearance: 2016 (Super Bowl 50), Last Super Bowl appearance: 2017 (Super Bowl LI), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1990 (Super Bowl XXIII), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1995 (Super Bowl XXIX), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1977 (Super Bowl XI), Last Super Bowl appearance: 2009 (Super Bowl XLIII), Last Super Bowl appearance: 2000 (Super Bowl XXXIV), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1994 (Super Bowl XXVIII). 1 pick in the 2022 NFL draft, with a 15% chance, followed by the Jets (10%), Jaguars (8%) and Eagles (7%). The Bengals should be better, but they aren't close to competing for a championship yet -- especially residing in the AFC North. With an 11-2-1 record, this group was one of many Vikings teams that should have won the big game. Although they have one less win, there stats still propel them ahead of the '86 team. The 10 Worst NFL Teams to Ever Win a Super Bowl - Sportscasting The Philadelphia Eagles were the most recent team to leave the "never won a Super Bowl" club, but the league only has three first-time Super Bowl winners since the start of the 2009 season. The 49ers' projection is based on the assumption that Jimmy Garoppolo is the starting quarterback. Well, they play in a division that produced three playoff teams last year. Sure the game was over by the end of the second quarter, but watching Steve Young (six touchdown passes) and Jerry Rice (three touchdown receptions) tear up the Chargers was a joy to watch. Head coach Kliff Kingsbury has to commit to running the ball besides using Murray on designed carries, or else Arizona will experience the same second-half swoon as last year. San Francisco's three games based on last year's standings are against the Eagles, Bengals and Falcons, who all rank 24th or worse in FPI. Ryan Tannehill has been a top five quarterback over the last two seasons and it hasn't been talked about enough. The Buffalo Bills are coming off their first conference championship game appearance since 1993 while the Cleveland Browns won their first playoff game since 1995. Jeremy Fowler polled a panel of more than 50 coaches, execs, scouts and players to come up with top-10 rankings for 2021: Edge | Interior DL | LB There was a reason the Colts were heavily favored going into the big game: The Jets were not all that good. The game was so bad that the MVP award did not even go to a member of the winning team. Even if Kevin Dyson had pulled a Michael Jordan in Space Jam and reached the ball over the goal line, the game would have gone to overtime. The Jets just didn't look all that good on their way to the mountaintop. 32. Ranking 12 teams that never won a Super Bowl by best chance Why? Let's start in the 1980s, with a team led by Hall of Famers like Joe Montana, Jerry Rice and Steve Young For a franchise that was so consistently dominant in the 1980s, the 1988 version of the San Francisco 49ers sure seems mediocre. So much needs to go right for the Broncos to get into the playoffs, much less the Super Bowl. Another dynasty toppled by Tom Brady, but the "Legion of Boom" should not be undersold. Baltimore has a unique spot on this list because its inclusion is not based on mediocre talent (it had players like Bubba Smith and Johnny Unitas) or that it struggled to win games (the Colts went 11-2-1). Matt Stafford, on the other hand, is learning a new offense, albeit with a smart coach and talented skill players. As far as the division title is concerned, Baltimore is a narrow favorite over the Browns: 43% to 40%. Top draft picks Gregory Rousseau and Carlos Basham Jr. should help, but did Buffalo do enough to shore up the biggest hole on its roster? and a dramatic finish. Philly was actually favored before the game, but Oakland made the betting line look silly early on, getting out to a 21-3 lead. The Browns also have a good defense that improved with the additions of John Johnson III at safety, Anthony Walker and Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah at linebacker, Jadeveon Clowney at edge rusher, and Greg Newsome II at cornerback. In a season without a normal offseason due to the pandemic, the 142 defending champs looked like easy Super Bowl favorites. It was called the "Blunder Bowl" for a reason. Yes, the Chiefs -- not the Super Bowl-champion Buccaneers -- are projected to be the best team and also have the best chances to hoist the Lombardi trophy next February. Its the only Super Bowl where a member of the losing team won MVP. worst Super Buffalo is on the doorstep of reaching the league championship game, thanks to the emergence of Josh Allen as one of the game's best quarterbacks. Cowboys linebacker Chuck Howley was awarded that honor (one that he refused to accept). Matt Rhule is building something in Carolina as he enters his second year, taking a chance he can resurrect Sam Darnold's career. Its more fun to speculate on the Bears QB race than it is their actual Super Bowl chances., 24. The game lacked memorable moments but is significant because it was Elways last. Buffalo has a top 10 pass defense led by one of the game's best cornerbacks in Tre'Davious White and Pro Bowl snub Jordan Poyer, but the run defense has to improve to beat a team like Kansas City. Of course, it is impossible to label a Super Bowl-winning team as average, but this 49ers team was certainly not up to par with others. Detroit has some work to do on the defensive side of the ball, a monumental task for new defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn (gave up a league-worst 112.4 passer rating to opposing quarterbacks in 2020). Theyve won 35 regular-season games in the last three seasons for a reason., When narratives build for example, that Lamar Jackson cant win in the playoffs you can find an edge fading them., 1. The Worst Teams in NFL History to Win a Super Bowl Id have to guess the 2000 Baltimore Ravens. Is this a bad thing?No, but it does not exactly make for one of the most dominant championship teams of all time. worst Theyre basically the 2020 Patriots, who lost a Hall of Fame QB, had a ton of opt-outs defensively (the Saints lost five key contributors to free agency), and have no receivers (given the Michael Thomas surgery). Seattle came in with the leagues best defense. Brady and Belichick established the Patriots as a dynasty with their third Lombardi in four years. The AFL just wasn't ready yet, but they were still very good for AFL standards with an 11-2-1 record. Super Bowl VIII: The run offense needs to be stronger with Devin Singletary and Zack Moss as the offensive line has to create better holes up front to take the pressure off Allen. Even the worst of the second-place teams showed they could have won it all. The game that confirmed Joe Flacco was elite. 3 overall pick Trey Lance entering the season. ODonnell set Larry Browns family up for life with his dreadful performance. Same goes for this one. We've been projecting preseason chances to get the top draft picks only since 2018, but no team has entered the year more likely to walk away from the No. What was the worst defense to win the Super Bowl? : r/nfl With a hostage crisis in Iran taking attention away from the game, the Raiders and Eagles made sure Americans too concerned to tune into a football game didnt miss much. This isn't just about winning the closely contested division, though. This game will be remembered for two plays: The surprise onside kick to start the second half and Tracy Porters game-sealing pick-6 of Manning. Those numbers are buoyed by two factors: FPI projects them to have the best defense in the league. Brown, setting the stage for Jones to have a huge first season in Tennessee. Use of this website (including any and all parts and components) constitutes your acceptance of these, place your futures bets on who is going to win, Every NFL team's 2021 win totals, ranked from worst to best bet. This 97 Cardinals team scored 78. An 11-5 record was good enough for first place in the AFC East, yet New England was 5-5 through 10 games. Pittsburgh was just 7-5 through 12 games. Oh, if they only handed the ball off the Marshawn Lynch. Sure, but it did not make for an entertaining game up until the end. The agony of defeat. Not to mention, Reggie White wrecking people on defense. This isn't entirely a reflection on them, though FPI is never particularly bullish on rookie quarterbacks. Washington Football Team +5500 (bet $10 to win $560 total), Ryan Fitzpatrick, a guy who hasnt been to the playoffs in his career, is suddenly going to get to the Super Bowl?. OK, so this game was never in doubt, this was Bill Walshs 49ers dynasty at its apex. IMPORTANT NOTE: I used my own mathematical point system involving team records, offensive production, and defensive production to determine the order. Aaron Rodgers capped off a brilliant playoff run with a masterful performance against one of the leagues best defenses. The NFL didn't have a full season due to a strike, so it is hard to put a 72 team ahead of others. The Lions are in the first year of a rebuild, as Dan Campbell looks to change the culture of a franchise that has just one playoff win over the last 63 years. A great passing defense helped elevate this Vikings team to a 122 record. Ranked below are the 20 worst NFL players to win a Super Bowl since 2000. They had an unimpressive 115 record, but the 2002 Raiders were a well-balanced, finely tuned machine. Eli Manning did it to the Patriots again. Twenty-two women have said in lawsuits that Watson sexually assaulted them or engaged in sexually inappropriate behavior during massage sessions. The game was a blowout but did give us one of the most iconic moments in Super Bowl history: Don Beebe chasing down a prematurely celebrating Leon Lett. 9. Herbert will have more protection to connect with a talented cast of offensive weapons as the Chargers rebuilt their offensive line centered around All-Pro Corey Linsley and first-round pick Rashawn Slater. Burrow should be ready by Week 1, and has an impressive cast of receivers that will make the Bengals passing game even more lethal in 2021. The Chiefs defense also surrendered 31 points. Seriously, I get the Super Bowl is one of the worst in history, but this team was really great with an underappreciated defense. But we are going to look past that kick for just a minute. 3) Only one of their final seven opponents has a season win total under 8.5. The game wasnt nearly as close as the score indicates, though. Who are the worst coaches to win Houston would be much higher on this list if Deshaun Watson's future with the team wasn't uncertain. Then Jim was thoroughly outcoached at every point by Sean Payton. Their strategy to run it back with nearly the same squad looks (on paper) like it could pay off; the Bucs have an 85% chance to reach the playoffs and a 15% shot to repeat as champions, according to FPI.